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Xinhua Silk Road
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Foreign institutions laud China's Q1 economic performance

April 19, 2021


Abstract : China's economic growth has embraced an encouraging start in the first quarter of the year (Q1). Foreign institutions believed that China's economic recovery has gained a strong momentum, which is expected to extend in the second quarter. Many foreign institutions begin to raise their expectations for China's economic growth.

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Workers hoist products in the yard of a construction equipment manufacturing company in an industrial park in Zunhua City, north China's Hebei province, April 16, 2021. (Photo by Liu Mancang/Xinhua)

BEIJING, April 19 (Xinhua) -- China's economic growth has embraced an encouraging start in the first quarter of the year (Q1). Foreign institutions believed that China's economic recovery has gained a strong momentum, which is expected to extend in the second quarter. Many foreign institutions begin to raise their expectations for China's economic growth.

"China's robust economic data in the first quarter is in line with expectations. Consumer spending measured by retail sales has increased, indicating the country's consumption growth has accelerated," said David Chao, a global market strategist for Asia-Pacific (excluding Japan) at Invesco.

China's retail sales of consumer goods went up 33.9 percent year on year in the first quarter. The average Q1 growth for the past two years stood at 4.2 percent, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said on April 16.  

Analysts with the Fidelity International noted that thanks to the effective measures that the government has taken to control the epidemic and stimulate the economy, China has taken the lead in realizing economic recovery in the world, setting an example for other major economies to seek recovery.  

The data released on April 16 showed that China's gross domestic product (GDP) reached 24.93 trillion yuan in Q1, up 18.3 percent year on year. 

Foreign institutions are optimistic about China's economic performance in the second quarter. Lu Ting, Chief China economist with securities firm Nomura predicted that China's gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the second quarter is expected to accelerate to 2.0 percent from the previous quarter, and the year-on-year growth rate is likely to reach 8.1 percent. Nomura raised China's annual GDP growth forecast to 8.9 percent from the previous 8.8 percent. 

"Thanks to the continued improvement in China's labor market and the possible further rebound in domestic consumption, we will revise China's GDP growth for 2021 from 8.2 percent to 9 percent," said Wang Tao, chief China economist with Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS).

Foreign institutions generally believed that China's economic recovery in the second quarter and in the future will rely more on the recovery of the service industry. Data during the three-day Tomb-sweeping Day holiday that ran from April 3 to April 5 showed that the number of tourists and hotel orders in the country have witnessed a substantial growth. (Edited by Zhang Yuan with Xinhua Silk Road, zhangyuan11@xinhua.org)

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