BEIJING, June 12 (Xinhua) -- The Baltic Exchange has published its weekly report of the dry and tanker markets for June 5-9, 2023 as below:
Capesize
The week kicked off in the Pacific with a flurry of activity, with all three of the majors in the market from West Australia to China on similar dates. The market gained momentum with an increase in enquiry. Despite a lack of coal enquiry from East Coast Australia, the market remained resilient and rates continued to rise. By the middle of the week, there were expectations of a further push but this did not materialise, leading to a slight correction in rates. As the week drew to a close, the level of activity slowed, but the market has found a degree of stability.
In contrast, the Atlantic has been relatively quieter, although there has been a positive shift in sentiment and some resistance among owners, particularly among the vessels ballasting from the Pacific. Brokers reported improved bids for shipments from South Brazil to China, causing owners to reassess their position and leading to a notable spread between the bid and the offer.
Panamax
A real contrast of a week for the Panamax market. The week began on a firm footing carried over from the previous week with sentiment remaining high. Supported by solid fresh demand in both basins, rates began to gain some gravitas. However, by mid-week the fragility seen in the market in recent weeks began to rear its head again, with bids retracting and, despite offers reducing slightly, a stand-off ensued as the week concluded. The Atlantic was generally led by fronthaul demand with end June arrivals ex EC South America achieving as high as $15,000+$500,000 bb delivery arrival port, whilst early July arrivals saw DOP rates on several occasions. Mineral demand ex Australia ably supported good supply ex Indonesia this week, with a bunch of deals concluded ex Australia for good design 82,000dwt types at $11,000 but such rates appeared unachievable by end of week with Charterers stepping back.
Ultramax/Supramax
A rather turbulent week for the sector with sentiment remaining poor in most areas. Despite a trickle of fresh cargo appearing brokers spoke of an excess of prompt tonnage available keeping rates in check while owners competed to cover their vessels. From the Atlantic, a 59,000dwt was heard to have fixed a scrap cargo from the Baltic to US East Coast at $8,250. Further a 61,000dwt fixed a trip from Greece to US East Coast with cement at $11,000. In Asia, as the week progressed a little more cargo appeared from Indonesia, although again this did little to change the negative feel. A 60,000dwt open mid China fixing a trip via Indonesia redelivery China at $5,000. Similarly, a 63,000dwt fixed a trip delivery China’s Hong Kong via Australia redelivery Singapore-Japan at $8,000. Elsewhere, the malaise continued with the Indian Ocean also lacking positive sentiment. A 63,000dwt fixing a trip from EC India to China with iron ore at $8,000.
Handysize
With a general undertone of negativity and a lack of enquiry, both basins saw levels soften. A 28,000dwt open spot in Iskenderun fixed basis delivery Port Said for a trip via the Red Sea to East Coast India with an intended cargo of petcoke at $6,250. A 37,000dwt was rumoured to have been fixed for a trip from the US East Coast to Turkey with an intended cargo of scrap at a rate between $8,000 to $9,000. In Asia, a 32,000dwt opening in Thailand was fixed via Australia to Southeast Asia in the low $7,000s. Whilst a 29,000dwt fixed from Bunbury to Vietnam with an intended cargo of grains at around $12,000. A 40,000dwt newbuild opening ex-yard in Japan was fixed for a trip to the Continent -Mediterranean at $10,000 whilst a 38,000dwt opening in CJK was rumoured to have fixed via South Korea to the Philippines with an intended cargo of gypsum in the low $7,000s.
Clean
LR2
MEG LR2’s have been subject to bearish sentiment over the last seven days. Freight levels have dwindled as result, TC1 has taken a 29.55 point tumble to WS114.38 and TC20 shed another $684,000 to $3,157,000.
West of Suez, Mediterranean/East LR2’s have also dipped. TC15 is currently pegged at $2,729,000, an almost 10pct drop and taking the Baltic round trip TCE to just $1,600 /day.
LR1
In the MEG, LR1’s have also been lacklustre from depleted enquiry. TC5 came off 17.26 points to WS128.57 and on a trip west on TC8 fell from $2,999,000 to $2,575,000. On the UK-Continent, TC16 dipped to WS127.5 mid-week following that number reported on subjects a couple of times but the soft sentiment has led the index down to WS125 at time of writing.
MR
MEG MR’s have been recorrected down again this week. Subsequently the TC17 index has dropped from WS260.71 to WS236.43 despite UK-Continent MR’s supply heavily outweighed demand this week. The TC2 index came off 17.26 points to WS177.78 and likewise TC19 sunk to WS187.14 (-24.29)
USG MR’s saw a mini mid-week hop up, only to then return back down. TC14 peaked at WS126.25 (up from WS120) to then resettle at WS117.5. TC18 topped out at WS187.5 up from WS180 to return back down to WS175 and TC21 similarly maxed out at $714,000 to then go back down to its beginning of the week seat at $658,000.
The MR Atlantic Triangulation Basket TCE dropped from $31,517 to $27,155.
Handymax
Mediterranean Handymax’s once again continued to hold at the WS135 mark for the third week in a row. Up on the UK-Continent, TC23 also remained stable in the mid WS130’s.
VLCC
A busier week and owners have managed to turn rates around, albeit slightly. The rate for 270,000 mt Middle East Gulf to China has improved by about 2.5 points to WS48.36 (a round trip TCE of $24,978 per day basis the Baltic Exchange’s vessel description), while the 280,000mt Middle East Gulf to US Gulf trip (via the cape/cape routing) the rate is now assessed almost one point higher at WS32.78.
In the Atlantic market, the rate for 260,000mt West Africa/China climbed almost 2.5 points to WS50.53 (which shows a round voyage TCE of $28,730 per day). The rate for 270,000mt US Gulf/China is now assessed $66,667 higher than a week ago at $7,977,778 ($31,919 per day round trip TCE).
Suezmax
Rates for Suezmaxes have fallen across the board. For the 135,000mt CPC/Med route, the rate has fallen by nine points to WS110.28 (a round trip TCE of $42,400 per day) while a similar loss was felt for the 130,000mt Nigeria/Rotterdam trip, to WS90.5 (a round trip TCE of $32,500 per day). In the Middle East, the rate for 140,000mt Basrah/Lavera eased five points to WS60.16.
Aframax
In the North Sea, the rate for the 80,000mt Hound Point/Wilhelmshaven slipped five points to a fraction over the WS140 level (showing a round-trip daily TCE of $46,400).
In the Mediterranean, rates tumbled with the 80,000mt Ceyhan/Lavera route shedding 21 points to WS149.5 (a daily round trip TCE of about $42,900).
Across the Atlantic, the Stateside Aframax market has awoken once again. The rate for 70,000mt East Coast Mexico/US Gulf rose over 37.5 points to WS177, which shows a TCE of about $48,600/day round trip. For the 70,000mt Covenas/US Gulf trip, the rate increased by more than 25 points to WS165, representing a round trip TCE of $40,500 per day. For the trans-Atlantic route of 70,000mt US Gulf/Rotterdam, the rate is now nearly 34 points firmer than last Friday at WS177.5 (a round trip TCE of $45,600 per day).
LNG
There has been some movements this week on the BLNG, with several ships that have been put on subs bolstering the rates. Rates for BLNG2 (USG/UKC) rose over $7,000/day to end the week at $48,945/day. Cargoes that had been rumoured previously are now covered and though the position lists show several ships available, optionality on those ships remains tight, which could help the rates further. For BLNG3 (USG/Japan via the Panama Canal) the rate rose $6,728 to close at $62,112 on the back of some interest from charterers but unsupported by owners. Out in the East, BLNG1 (Australia-Japan) rose by $6,900/day since Tuesday to a shade below $49,500 per day, supported by one vessel that had been reported on subs for intra-Pacific trade.
LPG
A quiet week overall for LPG, with many market players enjoying sunshine out in Oslo for Nor-Shipping. Rates softened overall and on the Eastern BLPG1 route we saw little life prior the ADNOC acceptances. Rates fell to $104.143, a big drop from the day before shedding more than $7 in one swoop. Sentiment has fallen away and owners are pushing ships out with little enquiry coming back in and further falls could be expected.
The BLPG3 route (USG/Japan) didn’t fare much better, closing at $148.286, a fall of a little more than $5 from the day before and nearly $8 from the start of the week. It was reported that just two vessels were fixed out in the US in the last week so despite the sun shining for many enjoying Nor Shipping, those in the office and with ships are a little more sombre.
Headquartered in London and a subsidiary of the Singapore Exchange (SGX), the Baltic Exchange publishes a range of indices and assessments which provide an accurate and independent benchmark of the cost of transporting commodities and goods by sea. These include the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), the dry bulk shipping industry's best known indicator. Published daily since 1985, this provides a snapshot of the daily spot market earnings of capesize, panamax and supramax vessel types on the world's key trading routes.
Chart shows Baltic Dry Index (BDI) during June 10, 2022 to June 9, 2023
Baltic Forward Assessment for BDI
In March 2018 the BDI was re-weighted and is published using the following ratios of time charter assessments: 40 percent capesize, 30 percent panamax and 30 percent supramax. The information is provided by a panel of international shipbrokers.
(Source: The Baltic Exchange, edited by Niu Huizhe with Xinhua Silk Road, niuhuizhe@xinhua.org)
A single purchase
