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Baltic Exchange releases weekly shipping market report

October 01, 2021


Abstract : The Baltic Exchange has published its weekly report of the dry and tanker markets for Sept. 20-24, 2021.

BEIJING, Oct. 1 (Xinhua) -- The Baltic Exchange has published its weekly report of the dry and tanker markets for Sept. 20-24, 2021 as below:

Capesize

The Capesize market continued its assertive rally this past week reaching new highs in dramatic fashion. The Capesize 5TC opened the week at $53,240 and never looked like taking a backward step as it closed out the week a staggering $8,069 up settling Friday at $61,309. The main driving force for the market came from the Pacific, as West Australian charterers were caught early on in the week dealing with a slim selection of choices and troubled vessel schedules resulting from the previous week's weather in eastern China. The West Australia to China C5 leapt up $3,759 at the beginning of the week to $20,145 before regressing on Friday to $19,082. Meanwhile, the Transpacific C10 closed the week out at a hefty $67,000, off the previous day's high of $70,742. 

Heading west into the Atlantic it's heard that owners are on the hunt for fronthaul cargoes to the detriment of Transatlantic business as we are firmly into Q4 Atlantic strategy.  Transatlantic C8 are now prices at $69,215, while the Fronthaul C9 commands a $81,775 price tag allowing owners to cash in on their premium position for the price of repositioning to the Pacific.

Panamax

Not quite as sensational as the Cape market and despite varying holidays throughout the week the Panamax market returned to positive territory. Stable fundamentals pitched against tonnage tightness made for the perfect storm with strong gains seen in the Atlantic with most major loading origins seeing solid demand. East coast South America saw good support for second half October arrivals, with talk of an 81,000dwt accomplishing $36,500 for a trip via east coast South America with delivery in Singapore. Asia, despite holidays, witnessed steady gains. NoPac grain demand returned as the main driver in the north, with a $35,500 agreed on an 81,000dwt delivery Japan for a NoPac round trip the high on the week.  Stronger levels too from both Indonesia and Australia to India on the coal trips, with $38,250 the high rate on an 82,000dwt delivery Malaysia for a trip via Indonesia to India. Period activity saw an 81,000dwt achieve $34,000 for four to six months.

Supramax

With widespread holidays in Asia the week started on a relatively slow note. However, sentiment remained strong in most areas as more enquiry was seen. Period activity included a 63,000dwt open Southeast Asia fixing five to seven months trading in the low $40,000s. Better demand was seen from the Mediterranean for Atlantic business, with a 56,000dwt fixing a trip from Turkey to West Africa at $52,000. From the US Gulf an Ultramax was heard to have been fixed for a trip to the far east in the low $50,000s. Further south from east coast South America, limited activity was reported with some seeing tonnage supply growing. 

From Asia, a 63,000dwt open Kosichang was fixed for an Indonesian coal run to China in the low $40,000s and Ultramax size also open Southeast Asia were seeing in the low $40,000s for Australian round voyages. From the Indian Ocean, a 63,000dwt open Kandla was fixed for a trip to the Continent at $40,000.   

Handysize

A week of positive gains on the BHSI, despite holidays in the Asia region causing activity to be limited, resulting in a new yearly high of 1925 points. East coast South America continues its revival, with a 37,000dwt fixing a trip from Vila Do Conde to Norway with an intended cargo of alumina at $37,000, plus a 28,000dwt fixing from Santos to Morocco with an intended cargo of sugar at $34,000.  

A 35,000dwt was also fixed from Morocco to Bangladesh at $45,250. In the Mediterranean a 37,000dwt was fixed for a trip from Turkey to the US Gulf with an intended cargo of steels at $41,000.  In Asia a 32,000dwt was fixed from Vietnam to China with an intended cargo of clinker at around $39,000.  Period has been active with a 32,000dwt open in Brazil being fixed for four to five months with worldwide redelivery at $35,000.

VLCC

Another busy week in the Middle East and the Atlantic, which finally has led to some upward movement on the rates. In the Middle East Gulf a 280,000mt to US Gulf (via the Cape/Cape routing) is assessed just over a point higher at WS20 as 270,000mt to China improved 3.5 points to WS39 (which shows a trip TCE of about $1,900 per day).  In the Atlantic, rates for a 260,000mt West Africa to China firmed by four points to between WS40-41 (a roundtrip TCE of $5,100 per day). A 270,000mt US Gulf to China is now rated $756,000 higher than a week ago at $5.01 million (a TCE of $8,500 per day roundtrip) having seen reports of a 270,000mt east coast Mexico to west coast India fixing on modern tonnage at $4.1 million, and North Sea to China fixing at $4.4 million on a 2006-built vessel.

Suezmax

In West Africa the rate for 130,000mt Nigeria/UK Continent remains stuck at the WS52.5 mark (a round trip TCE of -$600 per day) while similarly the rate for 135,000mt Black Sea/Med continues to be at WS60 (a TCE round trip of -$6,700 per day).

The Middle East market had another busy week of fixing, with reports of Basrah/west voyages done by Turkish, Greek and a couple of other oil majors at WS25 early in the week. A French major oil company was reported to have fixed with east and west options from Basrah at WS27.5 for the Mediterranean. The Baltic Exchange route of 140,000mt Basrah/Lavera is now assessed at around the WS26.5 level, up four points for the week.

Aframax

In In the Mediterranean, an 80,000mt Ceyhan/Lavera climbed another two points to just shy of WS90 ($2,000 per day TCE roundtrip). Meanwhile in Northern Europe, a 80,000mt Cross-North Sea remained steady at WS 92.5/93 level (a round trip TCE of -$5,300 per day). Rates for 100,000mt Baltic/UK Continent rose a point to WS61 (a TCE of about -$2000 per day round trip). Across the Atlantic, rates for the 70,000mt US Gulf/UK Continent were held at WS82.5/83 level (a TCE of $1000 per day round trip) while the market for the shorter local voyages tumbled 10 points as the position list of available tonnage became more populated. A 70,000mt Caribbean/US Gulf rate is now in the WS94 region (a TCE of $1,400 per day round trip) while the rate for 70,000mt East Coast Mexico/US Gulf is dipping just below WS100 (a round trip TCE of $4,100 per day).

Clean

The Middle East Gulf has seen freight rates generally sideways this week. On the LR2s to Japan TC1 has dropped 0.15points to WS107.71, a round-trip TCE of $9,624 per day. The LR1's have seen activity subdued this week and TC5 55k Middle East Gulf / Japan has remained in the WS112.5 region. On the MRs, the 35k Middle East Gulf / East Africa (TC17) has risen WS6.67 points on the back of some end of week activity to WS189.17, a round-trip TCE of $10,534 per day.

After returning to WS115 the Mediterranean Handy market has plateaued there for the TC6 30kt Skikda / Lavera run. The LR2's have had continued momentum this week and have subsequently gone up a further $195,000 to $2 million for the TC15 80k Mediterranean / Japan voyage. 

The Baltic Handy market has seen a steady flow of enquiry this week and TC9 30k Baltic / UK Continent has come up to WS125. On the UK-Continent MR, freight rates have seen more of the same WS100 as capacity is still oversupplied for TC2 37k UK-Continent / US Atlantic Coast. TC19 37k Amsterdam to Lagos has felt the same effects as TC2 and still is being repeated at WS100 for the moment.

On the LR1's, TC16 60k Amsterdam / Offshore Lomé has seen some encouraging signs for owners, rising to around WS82.5 mark in the latter part of the week and the reported sentiment for next week is, at time of writing, also firm. 

In the Americas there has been sustained activity throughout the week and freight levels are now seeing the appropriate up turn. The TC14 38k US Gulf / UK Continent has come up to around WS62.5, whilst TC18 35k from US Gulf / Brazil is pegged at the WS92.5 mark. 

The MR Atlantic basket TCE rose from -$91 at the beginning of the week to $827 on Thursday.

Headquartered in London and a subsidiary of the Singapore Exchange (SGX), the Baltic Exchange publishes a range of indices and assessments which provide an accurate and independent benchmark of the cost of transporting commodities and goods by sea. These include the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), the dry bulk shipping industry's best known indicator. Published daily since 1985, this provides a snapshot of the daily spot market earnings of capesize, panamax and supramax vessel types on the world's key trading routes.

BDI - BDI 250920 240921.png

Chart shows Baltic Dry Index (BDI) during Sept.25, 2020 to Sept. 24, 2021

BFABDI_C-FFA 240621 160822 (2) (1).png

Baltic Forward Assessment for BDI

In March 2018 the BDI was re-weighted and is published using the following ratios of time charter assessments: 40 percent capesize, 30 percent panamax and 30 percent supramax. The information is provided by a panel of international shipbrokers.

(Source: The Baltic Exchange, edited by Niu Huizhe with Xinhua Silk Road, niuhuizhe@xinhua.org)

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Keyword: International Shipping Centers Development Index Baltic Exchange

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